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Positive Navel Gazing: Won Sales Analysis

Almost every company I’ve worked for has done regular “loss reviews” when they’ve failed to win big bids. It was almost a knee-jerk raction by management – “how can this possibly have happened?” – despite the fact that the sales team often knew well in advance that they weren’t going to win.

What I see much less often are “win reviews”. Rather than just celebrating a win, analysing it to figure out why you really won, to see if you could repeat that success elsewhere.

In my experience,these win reviews are much more likely to produce future success than loss reviews.

The reason is simple. Loss reviews focus on trying to identify the reasons why you didn’t win – “mistakes” – and change them for the next time. But in reality, the reasons why you don’t win are usually much less likely to be fixable mistakes than they are to be inherent features of your products and your company. Things which are very difficult to change. Perhaps your culture didn’t fit, or your high quality product line wasn’t suitable for a low cost customer.

A win analysis however, tries to identify the factors that secured your victory. These factors are almost always things you can repeat. The important thing is to find more customers where these factors are valued.

The trick in both cases is not to try to change unchangeable things (of course, if you do find mistakes then fix them) – but instead to identify which types of customer value the factors you are strong on, and which don’t. You can then use these factors as a way of identifying and/or screening potential new customers.

For example, one of my previous customers, an IT services company had a very strong consultative culture. They believed that by working with their client to help them take ownership of their problems and jointly developing the solutions (rather than just “telling them the answer”) they would have a much more sustainable result in the long term.

Like all firms, they won a number of bids, and they lost a number. On many of the bids they lost, the feedback they got from clients was that they didn’t want to work collaboratively – they wanted to be told the answer. Often my client would interpret this as meaning they had to try to change their culture – to be more prescriptive in their approach. But whenever they tried this, apart from being culturally uncomfortable for the team, they would end up losing more bids than before.

What they needed was to counterbalance the feedback from their losses with feedback from their wins. They then began to hear of all the occasions where their consultative culture had helped them win projects. With this more balanced feedback they began to understand that instead of trying to win everything, they should focus their efforts on “winnable bids” – bids where their culture, skills and capabilities better matched what the clients were looking for. They began to ask early qualification questions based on these criteria to allow them to see which bids they were likely to be a good fit for, and which ones the clients were looking for a different approach in. This focused approach allowed them to make major improvements in the number of bids they won – and decrease the effort spent on bids where they really stood no chance.

In similar vein, over at SHiFT Selling Craig Elias talks about the use of new customer reviews to identify the “window of dissatisfaction” where your product or service resonates with the buyer’s selective perception – and then looking for that same window elsewhere. Meanwhile, Chris Whyatt talks about a great win review he did with ComputerLand a number of years ago which provided a real Eureka moment for him. According to the client, the main reason for their bid victory was that “the proposal felt like it was written for us”. Sadly, my experience has been that this is rarely the case – so a proposal which does so really stands out from the crowd and has a great chance of success.

Ian

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Author: Professional Services Marketing & Sales Expert Ian Brodie

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  • Ian hits the nail right on the head.

    Here is something I find very interesting, when you search Google for the term sales analysis - by using quotes around the words “sales analysis” - you’ll find somewhere around one million web sites that talk about “sales analysis”.

    When you want to understand how you lost a sale and you search Google for the term “lost sales analysis”, you will find around 1,000 web sites that talk about how to analyze the business that you lose.

    When you want to understand how you won a sale, so you can replicated your biggest wins, and you search Google for the term “won sales analysis” you will find, on my last check, less than 25 pages.

    Of all the web sites on the Internet that talk about sales analysis, less than 0.1% talk about how to analyze the sales you lose and less than .0025% talk about how to win more business by analyzing the sales that you have already won.

    To help people conduct a 'Won Sales Analysis' that also identifies how to identify the 'Trigger Events' that lead up to winning a piece of business I have placed a won sales analysis template at www.WonSalesAnalysis.com.
  • Ian
    Hi Craig,

    I redid your analysis. On my google search we have about 796,000 sites exactly matching "sales analysis"; 913 matching "lost sales analysis" (.11%) and 22 matching "won sales analysis" (.0027%) - so pretty much still the same results. And as far as I can see, all the "won sales analysis" hits are something to do with you and your blog - so without you, pretty much no one would be looking at this!

    I'm off over to your site now to download the template..

    Ian

    PS Seriously though, I really like you idea of identifying the trigger events common to won sales. Historically I've done a lot of analyses where we tried to identify common customer needs we had served - but the problem is that these are often not visible from outside the client and so really difficult to use as a means of generating new business. But by focusing on trigger events - which usually are visible outside - you get something practical you can work with
  • I love the idea of analyzing our wins. This is consistent with maximizing one's strengths instead of spending a lot of time trying to improve one's weaknesses. Thanks for a great idea that I can use on my sales team right away.
  • Hi Ian

    This a remarkable insight. Recently we lost a major bid. And immediately following the bad news was a review call. I personally call this a witch hunt. During the course of the call it became apparent that the reason we lost the bid was due to the appearance of our corporate facility. Can you beleive this? We lost a bid on account of how our buildings appear. I realised this was an experience in futility.

    From now on I will institutionalise the win analysis, it definitely is better than indulging in the witch hunts!
  • The lessons of why we lose can be important, or as irrelevant as the story told by Dr. V. With how we succeed the lessons are always valuable, as emulation can create consistency. Consistency creates greater success. Greater success is what we should all strive to achieve.

    Great Post!
  • Ian

    Great insight... focus on how to win, rather on how not to lose.

    Loss review = learning how not to lose.

    Win review = learning how to win.

    Learning how not to lose is very different from learning how to win. First of all the emotion evoked with losing is negative, whereas with winning it is positive. To win you must be in a positive frame of mind... success breeds success as they say.

    Look at sport... you will often see a team deploy a 'we must avoid losing strategy' against a team who deploy a 'we can win strategy'... guess who wins?... it's the same in business.

    Final thought... you mention about a previous customer realising they should not run after every deal, but focus on those that they believe they can win... sounds awfully close to binary forecasting!
  • Aw man Colin, I was beginning to think you could make it through a whole reply without mentioning binary forecasting!!

    Seriously though, you're right of course. Binary forecasting (or more accurately - using binary forecasting as part of pro-active pipeline management) is a great way of really focusing on the winnable deals. In this case you'd be using the criteria you develop from your win (and loss) reviews to identify what really was winnable - then your binary forecast and pipeline management would ensure that was where you put your effort.

    Ian
  • Chris Whyatt
    I recently responded to a question on this subject on LinkedIn, which asked what questions to ask when conduction a post bid review with a customer. I responded:

    Win or lose, ask:
    1. What did we do well? If you won this will tell you why; either way, it will tell you what to use again in the future.

    2. What could we have done better? If you lost this will tell you why; either way, it will tell you what NOT to use again in the future.

    I find this approach is non-confrontational, and therefore customers are happier to talk to you on this basis.
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